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1 - 10 van 17 voor baseline projection
Microsoft Word - ageing_.doc
... of dutch public finances contents 6 5 a baseline projection 79 5.1 introduction unsustainability of public finances in the baseline projection 79 5.3 public finances 80 5.4 ... projection for the government budget feature the most plausible development? the baseline projection is geared to the specific question that is central in this study are present policies sustainable?' the projection ...
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boek compleet
... the united states was 153, with the eu in between ( 198). as a result, the projection indicates that the price of crude oil would be lower under kyoto than the business ... addressed to make the mechanism work effectively. baseline issues for modelling exercises, usually a reference scenario or baseline has to be assumed. such a baseline depends on assumptions with respect to issues such ...
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gamma simulation model ageing pensions and public finances pdf
... aggregate expenditures and revenues 49 3.6 pensions baseline projection 53 4.1 budgetary developments 53 4.2 economic development in the baseline projection 54 5 simulations 57 5.1 demographic shocks ... of gamma. chapter 3 discusses the calibration of the model. chapter 4 presents the baseline projection. chapter 5 presents several simulations that illustrate the working of the model including both ...
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impact demographic uncertainty public finances netherlands pdf
... the baseline projection are taken from statistics netherlands (cbs). the deviations of these variables in typical stochastic demographic simulations from their counterparts in baseline ... baseline scenario, 2.7% of gdp. in case the rate of labour income taxation is increased to ensure sustainability, nonlinearities are important, 15 see armstrong et al. (2007). 30 though. the baseline projection ...
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Microsoft Word - cpbdoc38.doc
... productivity eu-15 moderate moderate high low high relative tfp growth baseline high in services and capital goods baseline baseline energy efficiencya high low high low climate-change policy yes no ... of women are rising, and the difference in participation rates is diminishing. in our baseline projection we assume that the trend of rising participation will continue until 2040, independent of ...
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Microsoft Word - cpbdoc126.doc
... prices and the impact of widening current account imbalances are major uncertainties surrounding the projection of the global economy. 1.1 softer housing market will decelerate us economic ... saving again, private consumption and housing investment would be weaker than in the baseline projection. on the other hand, favourable financial conditions (strong profitability, healthy balance sheets and ...
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Manager turnover and firm performance
... the effects of the election platforms of nine different political parties (changes relative to baseline, unless otherwise mentioned) cda pvda sp vvd pvv gl chru d66 sgp improvement emu- ... the evaluation. 2. the baseline projection is a neutral extrapolation based on the assumption of unchanged policy. 3. only new policy proposals are included; this excludes policy in the baseline projection. 4. the ...
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Discussion paper
... his excellent computational assistance. 6 figure 1.1 shows the baseline results in four sustainable scenarios. these are discussed in ... more details on the construction of age profiles and the projection of expenditure and revenues see van ewijk et al. (2006). ... modified age profiles in the baseline calculation and an unchanging one in the sensitivity analysis. the baseline took account of the fact ...
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fiscal prefunding response demographic uncertainty pdf
... baseline population projection presented here deviates from the projection used in van ewijk et al. (2006) and armstrong et al. (forthcoming) which was based on a projection ...
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Onderzoeksmemorandum (set-up) [PFP#301156075]
... decision making. any other policy assumption in the baseline forecast would only confuse the decision making process, which will take the baseline as its starting point. however, a forecasting institute ... is that these scenarios show between what margins economic growth in the netherlands for the projection period is likely to lie, barring extreme conditions (cpb, 1998, p. 9, my translation). ...
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