1 - 10 van 73 voor demographic model
gamma simulation model ageing pensions and public finances pdf
... horizon.1 the second is that we need a population model in order to be able to simulate alternative demographic developments. 2 the demographic model of gamma splits the population up into one hundred ... multiplied by the probability that the baby is a girl. unlike the demographic model of gamma, the economic part of the model does not distinguish between men and women. only the age distribution ...
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impact demographic uncertainty public finances netherlands pdf
... . on that account, demographic uncertainty may be underestimated. while pep produces population forecasts that extend 50 years into the future, our economic model, gamma, requires demographic input covering 200 years ... have been to endogenize the net migration rate in a mechanical way within the demographic model in order to achieve lower net population growth rates. however this would have ...
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memo115.pdf
... realisations). demography the demographic model of gamma describes the development of the population, as has been based on the model of statistics netherlands (cbs (2002)). the demographic model is made such that it can reproduce the projection of the cbs, with one concession it assumes a maximum age demographic model ...
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André Nibbelink | www.cpb.nl
... demographic uncertainty onzekerheid over de toekomstige demografische ontwikkeling vermindert het verwachte toekomstige welvaartsniveau. cpb discussion paper download (pdf document, 163.7 kb) de beschrijving van het gamma-model de versie van de pensioenstudie dit memorandum presenteert een beschrijving van het gamma-model dat is gebruikt voor de pensioenstudie. ...
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Publications
... policy responses with an age model, in fiscal indicators, banca d'italia 2007, pp. 869-892 . with alex armstrong, andre nibbelink and ed westerhout ageing, demographic uncertainty and optimal ... , fiscal prefunding in response to demographic uncertainty , cpb discussion paper 85, 2007 with alex armstrong and ed westerhout, the impact of demographic uncertainty on public finances in the netherlands ...
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bijlage_jaarrapportage2008.pdf
... .m.t. westerhout, 2008, ageing, demographic uncertainty and optimal fiscal policy, alho j.m., s. hougaard-jensen and j. lassila (eds.), demographic uncertainty and fiscal sustainability. cambridge cup, ... boeters, s., analysing welfare reform in a microsimulation-age model the value of disaggregation, iab, workshop on micro-macro model linkage, 15 december 2008, nuernberg. boeters, s., heterogeneous ...
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paper-flex-martin-2.pdf
... ultimately, on productivity growth. in this context, hopenhayn and rogerson (1993), using a general equilibrium model, show that a tax on job destruction reduces the pace of workforce adjustment with ... has a statistically significant negative direct effect on worker reallocation once the impact of demographic characteristics and temporary workers have been controlled for.17 a one-point increase in ...
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fiscal prefunding response demographic uncertainty pdf
... introduction gamma model 11 3 ageing and unsustainable government finances 15 4 maximizing social welfare under demographic certainty 19 5 stochastic demographics 23 6 maximizing social welfare under demographic uncertainty 27 ... this story relies on a few abstractions from reality. first, the model abstracts from any impact of demographic risk on the behaviour of households. in case a policy reform ...
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safe quarterly model dutch economy short term analyses pdf
... this document gives a comprehensive description of the safe model. the description of the model's equations and results concerns the model version used since the preparation of the macroeconomic ... labour-saving techniques. the supply of labour is largely determined by trends such as demographic developments. tension in the labour market (the discouraged-worker-effect) and fluctuations in real ...
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worldscan model international economic policy analysis pdf
... the firms in return for income. savings depend on income growth and demographic characteristics. in industrialised countries the demographic structure reflects an ageing population, which harms savings because the ... 3 examples are the gtap model (hertel, 1997), the mirage model (bchir et al., 2002), the linkage model (van der mensbrugghe, 2005), and the g-cubed model of mckibbin and wilcoxen (1999 ...
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