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1 - 10 van 28 voor four scenarios with plausible
Four Futures of the Netherlands
... four scenarios with plausible developments for the dutch economy at the macro and sectoral levels until 2040. the study builds on four futures of europe, published by which describes four scenarios with plausible future developments for europe. the scenarios ... --especially on trade issues--is combined with a thorough reform of the public sector. these four scenarios lead to large differences in ...
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Athena
... applications 39 3.1 scenario analysis 39 3.1.1 four scenarios macro results 40 3.1.3 sectoral results 42 3 ... the 2001 level. the scenarios with high growth are also characterized by more inequality and lower environmental quality. in all scenarios, ageing has a ... but conjunction with the large negative constant. for public utilities the elasticity is somewhat lower than unity. this is plausible given a ...
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Onderzoeksmemorandum (set-up) [PFP#301156075]
... economic theory to a priori insights in what constitutes a plausible parameter value and what does not. also, non- model ... based on monte-carlo exercises with four sources of uncertainty. source don (1994). 23 table 2 shares of four types of uncertainty in ... scenarios rather than a single forecast. in studies of long term prospects, e.g. cpb (1992) and cpb (1997a), we used three or four scenarios ...
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Microsoft Word - New_ Futures_SPL_16_april.doc
... with uncertainty. the art of scenario making is to combine uncertain drivers four futures for energy markets and climate change four scenarios 24 into a compelling set to create a plausible ...
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lost race between schooling and technology pdf
... four levels of education workers with primary education (or less), workers with secondary general education, workers with secondary vocational education and workers with ... plausible value and estimate the elasticity of substitution, and vice versa. this allows us to investigate whether the dutch date are consistent with empirically plausible ... for our three scenarios with enrolment elasticities and .10 ...
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memo247.pdf
... s (ie(s +1) ks e (r - ) p(s it consists of four parts. the first component equals the extra output from an ... improved methods yielded much lower values for or lower, implying more plausible marginal adjustment costs in the range of 10 cents per dollar ... . the length of the adjustment period becomes implausibly long in scenarios with large adjustment costs. these figures motivate the choice of a ...
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Microsoft Word - bijzonder88.doc
... to swim with the tide and respond to the development of one of the four scenarios. policy should prepare for the future, which is impossible without imagining future developments. the scenarios reveal ... choices that can lead down different paths. they reveal different possible futures that are plausible and challenging. shell has benefited from these scenario studies in situations where there is ...
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pension plans and retirement replacement rates netherlands pdf
... to pre-retire before the age of 65. now follow four choices with regard to pensions. which of those choices appeals to ... b are not always significant with the exception of the indicator for civil servants. these results are plausible and we use them ... . this overestimation increases with higher indexations and is as severe in the wage equation based scenarios as in those with contact income increases. ...
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Microsoft Word - cpbdoc38.doc
... countries is in sharp contrast with the poverty in eastern europe and in developing countries. scenarios illustrated table 2.1 compares the numerical characteristics of the four scenarios. it reveals the ... extreme scenarios that depict the boundaries of the possible population developments; as such, they are less plausible than the baseline. this does not fit in our economic scenarios.11 therefore ...
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supply renewable energy sources and cost eu climate policy pdf
... with a 20 % share of renewable energy in gross final consumption as an additional target. in the base case, we combine these scenarios with ... start with a look at the four core scenarios from section 4 ( uniform , uni- form + ret , ets and ets + ret ) with the ... tuals, because we did not find suitable data for calibrating plausible supply functions. the effects of adding supply functions for ...
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